Friday, July 1, 2005

Good Luck


Blair has an extraordinary task in hands: to quickly convince continentals to radically alter the allocation of money in the process of European integration, dedicating it to vanguard areas; and to convince, in the short-term, his fellow countrymen that this Europe of innovation, without CAP, with a large and deepened Single Market, that is more demanding in the application of structural funds, is worth it, it is fundamental for this process of European transformation that the United Kingdom (UK) adheres to the Single Currency. It is for this Herculean task of Blair that many in Europe look at expectation (starting with Durão Barroso, who has been going through complicated times since he assumed the Presidency of the European Commission – supported by, rember, the UK). If it comes through, Blair’s Europe will be a very different Europe. With a coordinated Defence sector but without aprioristic ambitions of counter-power against the USA. With the euro and a Single Market even more developed. With a big role for the Members-States (MS) and great caution towards advances considered as federalist (with that point, France will keep agreeing to). It will be a Europe that will reform its social-economic model that is so pressured by demography and global competition. And It will also be a more demanding Europe on what concerns security and, possibly, more attentive and selective in relation to immigration. It will be less cohesive and more competitive. With less funds of cohesion but with renewed opportunities for the most dynamic MS (and more risks for those who are incapable of reforming themselves and compete). If he achieves it, Blair will be making History. If he obtains an agreement in the Financial Perspectives, reforming the CAP and the English rebate and if, afterwards, he brings the UK closer to the European Union and to the Euro, Blair will be justly referenced in future historical pages relative to the beginnings of the XXI century of the “Old Continent”. Good Luck.